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u/crystalpeaks25 4d ago
Anything below a 120k is a dip. So I keep buying
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u/Broad-Present-8235 4d ago
Donāt know, but after each red September thereās a green October. Look!
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u/itsAllGood5021 3d ago
Bitcoin never had a red February after a red Janruary or a green March after a red February, until this year. 2026 is setting all kinds of new trends.
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u/Cecil_Badger 4d ago
September will be a wonderfully stubborn month for those diamond hands of yours. With Michael Saylor currently retrograde to the Ascendant of Fiat, the cosmic energies are pushing you to hiss at anyone using physical cash and try absorbing your daily vitamins directly from the blockchain. Expect sudden celestial urges to bury your hardware wallet in the neighbourhood cat's litter box just to keep it safe from solar flares. A promising romance might evaporate mid-month when you refuse to break eye contact at dinner, loudly insisting that waiting 45 minutes for a crypto payment to clear for breadsticks is your true "love language." Remember, you cosmic bull, cornering the mailman to explain how Scott Bessent's secret currency interventions are a coordinated attack on your altcoin portfolio does not actually count as small talk!
Lucky Block Height: 840,042
Lucky Seed Phrase Words: Abandon, Bacon, Moon, Hopium
Unlucky Color: Central Bank Green
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u/Cautious-Lecture-858 4d ago
I donāt mind if it just drops 7% after July/August +30% rally. Pullbacks are healthy, it brings opportunity for new long-term money on the sidelines that missed the rally.
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u/CARadders 4d ago
And and and! There has never been two consecutive red Octobers. So I fully expect whoever believes this mumbo jumbo to short the shit out of BTC and then buy the dip the month after. Easy peasy.
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u/Professional_Golf393 3d ago
If you want to use that dumb logic, then look at the October that follows this green August, red September pattern. Huge rise every time.
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u/Financial_Republic88 4d ago
Gamblerās fellacy
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u/user_name_checks_out 3d ago
Gamblerās fellacy
fellation
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u/Financial_Republic88 3d ago
Fellatio
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u/Infamous-Discount-99 4d ago
Bitcoin is in a long term parabolic bull run against all fiat currencies
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u/hodler1992 4d ago
Bitcoin doesn't care which month it is
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u/EconomicAffairs 3d ago
Since inception average movement price on BTC for september: -3.4%. For April: +13%. Those are just averages, but yes, Bitcoin care which month it is. Seasonality its a factor in almost every asset class.
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u/hodler1992 3d ago
You're still looking at Bitcoin through a fiat price lens. That's not what I meant. Bitcoin doesn't know what month it is and a historical average doesn't magically become a causal force because the calendar flips to September.
I don't hold Bitcoin because I expect every month to be green in USD terms. I hold it because I believe Bitcoin will outlast the monetary system it's currently being priced in. As long as fiat keeps losing purchasing power and Bitcoin keeps gaining relevance in the global financial system, short-term USD fluctuations are mostly noise to me.
So yes, September can be red. It can drop 20% for all I care. That doesn't change the thesis.
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u/EconomicAffairs 3d ago
But why if i just say that BTC cares about which month is it (and this can be argued as the asset present super strong seasonality varing each month) you send me a text about your personal reason to invest in BTC. It just have nothing to do with the thing we are talking.
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u/Nickovskii 4d ago
Ah short term speculationā¦. What else?
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u/magical_matey 2d ago
We can do some long term speculation as well, we wouldnāt want to exclude people who hype the 4 year cycle. It happened 3 times already and is a bullet proof trend analysis. Also these people are all gambling on, I mean, investing in, this locked in guarantee. Youād be a fool not to put everything you own into BTC now
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u/kepalautakkau 4d ago
historical patterns work great until the exact moment you're relying on them, so let's see XD
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u/user_name_checks_out 3d ago
historical patterns work great until the exact moment you're relying on them
for real my granddad lived every single year up until he died
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u/outoftownMD 4d ago
Itās never been easier to buy a hedge on ibit puts 2 month out.Ā Put 5% of fiat worth against near the money expiring early november
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u/AriesThef0x 4d ago
It may be a fact that it hasnāt happened before, that doesnāt make it a logical conclusion it wonāt happen now
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u/eman2top 4d ago
Itās very possible that we have a bigger September. With the Iran war, oil prices being high, the AI bubble starting to burst, the fed money printer going burrrrr to stabilize the bond market, I think more money will be moving to risk free assets like precious metals and āæitcoin.
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u/Upset_Cookie4875 1d ago
LMFAOOO. homie said ārisk free assetsā then named bitcoinā¦ thats funny bro
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u/CajunIF1billion 4d ago
Bitcoin also never had a red February followed by a green March, until it did.
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u/Omniwatch 3d ago
Good thing btc love to do what you least expect it to do. If it always did what you want everyone would be a millionaire.
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u/mythormedicine 3d ago
Oh my naive friend - you did not look at the position of moon and the direction of the wind !
See yesterday was a full moon, and the wind was blowing from the south. In this scenario green septermber is allowed after a red august.
We have nothing to worry. I have confirmed this with the local astrologer.
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u/WolfetoneRebel 3d ago
There were never two green months after a red February. Not once ever. In history. Until 2026.
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u/TattooedCFO 3d ago
The monthly net price movement of BTC is not predictive. There are no patterns established leading up to your point of prediction.
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u/Botlenose 3d ago
Bitcoin has always printed 3 green years followed by a red year, repeat. Until last year, it closed red. This is becoming astrology for bitcoiners. The game is changing likely due to Wall Street adoption.
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u/Business_South_7956 3d ago
Billions and billions in more capital in the space. Why not say 365 days after peak will be bottom of bear run? Aināt looking good to validate thatā¦
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u/ScoreOk5355 3d ago
I put the chance that it's a green September at 50%. It either will be or it wont. Not a doctor
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u/Dysonator401 3d ago
By your logic do we just ignore the fat green in uptober?
Historically goes red single digits after green august and booms double digits upside the month after.
Not that I think this happens I just donāt like biased opinions. Maybe it goes up maybe it goes down in either case just sit back and zoom out and hodl. No stress.
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u/2LostFlamingos 3d ago
Man look at 23 into 24ā¦ 7 straight green months.
Iāll go for that again.
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u/mothisname 3d ago
let me know when yall want it to drop and ill buy more. if it wasn't for holding id have lost everything lol
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u/Ok_Golf_6467 3d ago
All these rules and patterns... Bitcoin will do whatever the fuck it wants. Macro is flipping bullish and it can break out when it wants.
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u/jbreeze42 3d ago
It will be a negative September and October for bitcoin. Then flat for a few months, then moon again.
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u/IcyTechnology1409 3d ago
"september will be a trap!" Proceeds to end the post asking if it won't be a trap. These bots man...
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u/LyingPervert 3d ago
There is a first time for every thing and also there is uptober after September
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u/djbaerg 3d ago
This is so dumb.
Something can be essentially random and still happen 4 times in a row - doesn't mean that it will go that way the 5th time.
Bitcoin has no fundamental reason for any particular value, it's driven 100% by market sentiment, and there's no reason to believe that sentiment goes one way in September if it went another way in August.
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u/Mechanik_J 3d ago edited 3d ago
It doesn't matter, the dollar/fiat keeps losing buying power. And the wealthy, institutions, and countries keep accumulating btc. Even though btc is for regular people.
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u/Nice-Range-7653 3d ago
I hope it plays out like every other timeā¦.. Iāll take 7-10% drop from here to accumulate some more before the rocket takes off in October and November
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u/NHLBigFan 3d ago
It can be actually red.
This, however, doesn't mean BTC will plummet to low 60K or below 60K.
I would like it to see in the low half of 70K somewhere between 70K and 73K.
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u/badbilliam 2d ago
Bitcoin has also never had a green August in a mid term year, yet here we are š¤·āāļø
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u/Possible-Strategy-48 2d ago
Itās not about up and down so much as ranges, otherwise you could say hardly ever get consecutive green then red months. You need to take events into consideration not just historical patterns as itās the macro environmental changes that cause the movements.
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u/Possible-Strategy-48 2d ago
So many desperate bears gives me confidence even when stock market is falling
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u/BeemanIT_1 2d ago
You cannot predict the future. Just because the trend in the past shows it, it can still be a wild ride either way. Especially if the clarity act is passed.
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u/Ordinary_Repeat7637 2d ago
Notice how every green August has a green October and 75% of them had a green November too. Gotta love how they conveniently left that part out.
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u/Much-Ad2031 2d ago
I stopped listening to that shit after they said in October it always grows (it crashed last October š )
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u/Flight_Early 3d ago
Absolutely not. In fact, itāll be the worst drop in history. Wiping all longs, and praising the short sellers. Itās going to 40k.
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u/jasperCrow 4d ago
Crazy how a certain set of facts invokes such a negative reaction to some humans.
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u/read_more_comments 4d ago
Sounds like nonsense.
Bitcoin has never had a green month after a red month twice in a row when there was a full moon on the weekend prior to the first day of Halloween