r/baseball • u/Bermut-Nundaloy Seattle Mariners • 4h ago
Analysis Both new Seattle RH OFs (Ward and Refsnyder) lost ~100 points of wRC+ as soon as they joined the Mariners
In a year where everything has gone wrong for Seattle (worst pitching staff in the second half, Raleigh + Donovan + Crawford + Emerson + Raley + Miller playing through injury), this stands out as exceptionally cursed.
Teams stack their lefties to face Seattle, and the RH OFs the Mariners brought in to deal with this both lost 100 points of wRC+ the moment they joined the Mariners. That's... that's all the wRC+ there is. That's all 100 points.
Not sure what's more impressive, Ward getting traded during a good year and turning into a pumpkin on literally day 1, or Refsnyder faceplanting so hard he retired midseason.
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u/woolseydrew Seattle Mariners 4h ago
The thought is that they can’t hit at T-Mobile Park, but then they just suck everywhere. Clearly a team hitting philosophy problem.
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u/evanieCK Cleveland Guardians • WPBL 4h ago
Refsnyder did have pretty gnarly home road splits when I checked in a while ago, but he was still bad on the road and just unplayable at home.
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u/alxndrblack Toronto Blue Jays • Detroit Tigers 3h ago
Maybe they should change the philosophy
My suggestion, as something of a hitting coach, would be to hit
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u/kansashotwings Chicago Cubs • Cleveland Guardians 3h ago
But hit what, sir?
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u/alxndrblack Toronto Blue Jays • Detroit Tigers 3h ago
Bro I'm a Jays and Tigers fan fuck if I know
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u/Bermut-Nundaloy Seattle Mariners 4h ago
There is no hitting philosophy so bad that it can turn Taylor Ward into a .100 hitter the second he walks into the clubhouse. That's just good old fashioned horrible luck baby
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u/vanillaninja16 Seattle Mariners 3h ago
My dude it has been close to 10 years of Mariners hitters going up to the plate and swinging out of their shoes to hit HR’s and nothing else.
There is definitely a hitting philosophy problem.
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u/immagonnafinnahella Seattle Mariners 3h ago
There is, but with ward specifically that’s not the problem
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u/Bermut-Nundaloy Seattle Mariners 3h ago
Sure, although that is what the park forces because it suppresses doubles and triples.
But I highly doubt Taylor Ward walked into the clubhouse, and then Edgar said "hey bro FYI we only hit home runs here" and then Ward said "sure let me completely change my whole approach today" and then Ward suddenly sucked but he doesn't care and he didn't want to change back. Like that's not how coaching works, there's a lot of randomness and / or injury here
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u/Gleb_Twankenfrister Boston Red Sox 3h ago
from the outside looking in, i would wager coaching turnover needs to happen lol. don’t know if yall have had the same hitting coach over the years or there has been already but something has to give. i can’t remember the last time you guys had someone break out offensively that wasn’t a prospect that came up w org
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u/immagonnafinnahella Seattle Mariners 2h ago
We basically have a new hitting coach every year, at this point they need to clean house completely. They never will though, they still make money anyway and that’s all they care about
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u/Some_Caregiver9138 Seattle Mariners 3h ago
From 2016 to 2026, the Mariners have a wRC+ of 103, which is essentially tied for 5th through 10th place in baseball.
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u/Raisinbrahms28 Seattle Mariners 1h ago
Seattle fans are so fucking whipped by this team that they’ll just chalk it up to bad luck and curses every year instead of demand the team get better or call for a new manager/GM. People do the wave at home games down 5 runs for fuck’s sake.
The Mariners have a fan problem as much as they have a management problem.
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u/Traditional_Half842 MLB Players Association 3h ago
I imagine there is a mental/rhythm aspect of it as well. You struggle for a bit at home and then you're making adjustments and uncomfortable anywhere you play (home or away), and it can spiral from there.
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u/FrostWPG Toronto Blue Jays 4h ago
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u/ms_barkie Toronto Blue Jays 3h ago
When 100 points is league average, losing 100 points is… Mariner
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u/broccoleet Seattle Mariners 3h ago
Could it be mental? Like being acquired / traded for , to do one specific thing, puts more pressure on the player to do that thing. So they start over thinking their approach.
They’re both kinda old too.
But especially Ward had some warning signs, namely that he was never an on base guy before this season. Ref was just over the hill imo.
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u/Bermut-Nundaloy Seattle Mariners 3h ago
For Refsnyder he had two bum knees and just couldn't hit any more, so the question is really just about whether the Seattle medical team evaluated his physical correctly more than anything else. Ward is crazy though haha, that's just Mariners baseball
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u/Noy_Telinu Los Angeles Angels 1h ago
It has been a thing for literally 25 years. Even Adrian Beltre struggled there.
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u/mahrinazz Seattle Mariners 2h ago
The curse claims its newest victim.
Taylor Ward is losing millions of dollars in future earnings as this goes on. I bet he was devastated to be traded to Seattle.
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u/rewardingsnark Seattle Mariners 2h ago
Once you are a member of the shittiest team in history you become shit. That's the rule, also why everyone plays for them sucks.
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u/Ok-Sea9612 1h ago
Ward had already been falling off from his early season. And his early season wasn't actually good aside from walking a ton.
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u/ClutchCity9495 Houston Astros 2h ago
Why don't they move in the fences in Seattle already? It seems long overdue.
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u/Bermut-Nundaloy Seattle Mariners 2h ago
They did. It doesn't really help; they already have one of the smallest outfields in baseball. Moving in the fences more would add a few home runs but subtract triples, doubles, and singles from outfielders having less ground to cover.
An actual ballpark fix would take figuring out what increases strikeouts by 20% in the stadium (batter's eye? wind?) and fixing that, or adding weird outfield features like ivy walls or strange angles to increase triples.
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u/No_Buy2554 Cincinnati Reds 1h ago
I've always heard the marine layer was the problem. It makes fly balls die, and hitters feel like they have to swing harder if they're going for the fences (hence the higher K rate) or adjust the approach t liners instead.
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u/hawkfan78 Seattle Mariners 4h ago
The only thing that hasn't gone wrong this year is Randy playing out of his mind, and that could be considered going wrong because he's playing himself into a huge FA contract that the Mariners will most certainly not shell out the cash for.