With election right around the corner, I’ve been trying to work out what I actually want politically, rather than which colour team pisses me off the least. I keep coming back to one principle: the New Zealand economy and government should exist primarily to improve the lives of New Zealanders.
That does not mean shutting ourselves off from the world. Trade, immigration, foreign expertise and investment can all be enormously valuable. But they are tools, not ends unto themselves. The test should always be a simple: “does this make New Zealanders better off?”
1. Make healthcare and education national priorities
Healthcare should be one of the things a wealthy, functioning society simply gets right. You should be able to see a GP promptly, get necessary surgery before your condition becomes disabling, and enter an emergency department without finding a system permanently in crisis. Fund primary care properly, build capacity, train more clinicians and pay enough to retain them. A healthy population is also a more productive one.
Education deserves the same seriousness: strong literacy and numeracy, supported teachers, vocational education, apprenticeships, serious universities and greater respect for technical and trade careers. We also need to stop educating people for Australia. It is absurd to spend enormous sums training scarce professionals, watch them disappear across the Tasman, then import replacements. Nobody should be trapped here, but bonded scholarships, student-loan forgiveness after NZ service, rural incentives, better pay and stronger career pathways are reasonable. Make New Zealand somewhere talented New Zealanders want to stay.
Education also has a civic purpose. Young people should leave school able to distinguish reporting from opinion, interrogate a statistic, ask who funded a “think tank” and recognise how algorithms reward outrage. That is not teaching them what to think. It is teaching them how not to be conned.
2. Keep strategic assets working for New Zealand
Competitive private markets are excellent where genuine competition exists. Where it does not, particularly with essential infrastructure and natural monopolies, public ownership or aggressive regulation should prevent monopoly and duopoly profits from being extracted from captive consumers.
New Zealand spent decades selling assets on the theory that private ownership would make everything more efficient. Maybe some things did. But we also sold the dividends, capital appreciation and strategic control. Norway deliberately converted national wealth into wealth for future Norwegians. New Zealand should do the same. Labour’s proposed Future Fund is a step in the right direction, but I would be far more ambitious. New Zealand should become richer as a country, not merely a place containing some very rich individuals.
3. Stop allowing New Zealanders to be shafted for basic necessities
The supermarket duopoly is indefensible. Food is not a luxury, and Kiwis experience the problem every time they do the weekly shop. When two groups dominate groceries, families have little ability to vote with their wallets by shopping elsewhere.
Government needs to be far more aggressive. Break structural bottlenecks, force fair wholesale access, remove barriers to entry, help Costco-style challengers expand and actively court hard-discounters such as Aldi. If private competition still fails, trial publicly or community-owned supermarkets, as proposed in New York. Not because government-run shops are inherently virtuous, but because affordable food matters more than protecting the margins of an entrenched duopoly.
I would also examine a domestic-supply obligation for key foods we produce exceptionally well. New Zealanders should not find our best meat, dairy, fruit or seafood going to whichever overseas buyer pays most while locals get second-rate product at eye-watering prices. Exports matter, but the highest possible dollar should not outrank every social objective. A reasonable share of excellent NZ produce should remain available here at fair prices.
The same principle applies to banking, energy and other highly concentrated sectors. Foreign ownership is not automatically bad, but neither should government shrug while profits generated from essential NZ economic activity are funnelled offshore. Markets are a means, not sacred institutions.
4. Tax productive activity less and economic rents more intelligently
I do not want high taxation, I want intelligent taxation. Working, employing people, building businesses and inventing things are productive. Holding scarce land while its value rises because everybody else builds roads, schools and businesses around it is different.
That is why land-value taxation and other taxes on economic rents deserve serious consideration, especially if they fund lower taxes on productive activity. Opportunity’s interest in land taxation is one of the more interesting ideas in current NZ politics. We should move capital away from bidding up existing houses and toward productive enterprise.
5. Immigration should exist solely to benefit New Zealand
This is where I most clearly part company with much of the modern left. To be clear, I am not anti-immigration. Immigration brings ideas, skills, food, customs and perspectives that enrich New Zealand. A sensible amount keeps a society dynamic.
But immigration policy should exist solely to benefit the receiving country. Full stop. There are deliberately limited humanitarian exceptions, refugees being the obvious one, where we choose to help because it is the decent thing to do even with no direct economic return. Outside those exceptions, however, the ONLY question should be: what does admitting this person contribute to New Zealand?
Need oncologists, engineers, specialist nurses, scientists, scarce tradespeople or entrepreneurs bringing genuine expertise? Absolutely. Someone for an entry-level job a New Zealander could learn quickly? Hell no. If employers cannot recruit, the answer is to raise wages, improve conditions, invest in equipment or train somebody. Importing low-skilled labour reduces the pressure to make exactly those improvements.
New Zealand is a small country. Housing, hospitals, schools, roads, water and the natural environment have finite absorptive capacity. Immigration should therefore be selective and adjusted to infrastructure, labour-market and environmental conditions. Of course immigrants we admit should be treated decently and protected from exploitation, but fair treatment of migrants and tight control of numbers are entirely compatible positions.
The Greens seem incapable of making that distinction clearly. Their current manifesto strongly emphasises welcoming pathways, settlement and migrant rights, but gives much less attention to the more fundamental question of how many people NZ should admit and why. That initial decision belongs to New Zealanders.
6. Protect our civic culture from imported culture wars
One of New Zealand’s strengths is that the things uniting us are far greater than the things separating us. I do not want us importing the poisonous US political culture in which every disagreement becomes tribal warfare and people increasingly inhabit different versions of reality.
The beginnings are visible: outrage-driven politics, religious provocateurs, ideologically funded “think tanks”, algorithms rewarding anger, and attempts to turn ordinary disagreements into existential culture wars. We should recognise where that road leads before the door opens wider.
A healthy democracy needs a shared factual foundation. News organisations should be free to criticise governments from any direction, but accuracy, transparency and editorial independence matter. The Government’s plan to disestablish the Broadcasting Standards Authority and rely more on industry self-regulation concerns me, even if the old system needed modernising. Foreign ownership of influential media should also be transparent and treated as a legitimate public-interest concern.
This connects directly back to education. People should be equipped to spot bullshit before someone monetises or radicalises them with it. Vigorous disagreement is healthy. Imported culture wars are not. We should argue about New Zealand’s actual problems, not inherit somebody else’s.
7. Measure what actually matters
If we import another 200,000 people, total GDP will rise. Fine. But if GDP per person, real disposable income, productivity, housing affordability, healthcare access, educational achievement and infrastructure per person do not improve along with it, that is a failure of policy.
Bhutan is very different from New Zealand, but its Gross National Happiness philosophy captures something worth remembering: economic output is a means, not society’s highest calling. A wealthy society that is unhealthy, poorly educated, unaffordable, bitterly divided and incapable of agreeing on basic facts is not succeeding by the metrics that matter to most Kiwis.
Why these policies belong together
This is not a random grab-bag of left-wing and right-wing ideas. Rather, my attempt at a cohesive philosophy. Train and retain New Zealanders, and we need fewer imported workers. Restrict low-skilled immigration, and employers have stronger incentives to raise wages, train and automate. Better healthcare and education create a healthier, more capable workforce, while critical thinking makes society harder to manipulate. Land-tax reform redirects capital from speculation. Breaking oligopolies stops gains disappearing into monopoly profits and leaving the country. Strategic assets and a sovereign fund turn today’s prosperity into tomorrow’s national capital. Selective immigration strengthens productive capacity rather than simply adding pressure to housing and infrastructure.
Then judge the whole system by one question: are ordinary New Zealanders becoming better off?
So how do the current parties measure up?
National
National is almost the philosophical antithesis. Its reflex remains lower taxes, smaller government, private capital, foreign investment and faith that growth will solve the rest. New Zealand has spent roughly forty years trying variations of that model while selling assets, tolerating concentration, watching infrastructure lag population growth and losing skilled Kiwis to Australia. At some point, take a look at the fucking scoreboard. A country is not a company whose purpose is minimising overhead and maximising quarterly returns. Disestablishing the BSA in favour of greater self-regulation also looks badly timed as media fragmentation and misinformation grow.
ACT
ACT has a habit of correctly diagnosing a problem, then prescribing more of the philosophy that helped create it. However, its immigration thinking is more serious than I expected, and I agree migration categories should continually justify themselves. I have no objection in principle to a leaner state, or to fewer politicians. In fact, I would happily trade some of the political layer for stronger ministries staffed by capable experts with the freedom to do their jobs. What leaves me cold is ACT’s instinct to push more public functions into private hands and reduce the state’s role where I think it still matters. Looking at forty years of that approach and deciding we simply did not go far enough is not my idea of reform.
NZ First
NZ First may be the most frustrating. They talk about foreign-owned banks, supermarket power, stronger borders, economic sovereignty, rail and resilience. Sometimes sounding remarkably close to the argument I’m making here. Then they spend a full parliamentary term enabling National and ACT. Who you put into power matters way more than what you say at a public meeting.
Labour
Labour’s instincts are probably closer to mine. The Future Fund, stronger healthcare support and apprenticeships are all worthwhile. But where is the organising idea? Labour offers individually sensible policies without explaining what it wants the NZ economy to become. I do not want National-lite with nicer public services. I want a coherent twenty-year vision.
Greens
Economically, the Greens probably track closest. Strong public services, challenging concentrated corporate power, public-interest energy and greater willingness to tax wealth all fit. Then they reach immigration and lose me. A party that recognises ecological limits everywhere else seems to have a remarkable blind spot when it comes to population growth. Their immigration policy appears ideologically committed to expanding welcoming pathways, settlement and the interests and aspirations of migrants, rather than addressing the more fundamental question: how many people should NZ admit, and why?
Opportunity
Opportunity may be the most intellectually interesting. Land-value taxation, infrastructure, productivity and shifting capital away from housing speculation are exactly the structural questions I want discussed. I am less convinced by its instincts on foreign capital, immigration and public ownership, but at least it questions parts of the current model rather than merely managing them.
So this is the party I want
Call it social democracy, economic nationalism, Scandinavian-style capitalism or something else. I want top-notch universal healthcare; excellent education and vocational training; a strategy for retaining the people we pay to train; competitive markets where competition works and public ownership or aggressive regulation where it does not; a sovereign investment fund; taxation that rewards productive activity over rent-seeking; environmental limits taken seriously; a civic culture based on facts rather than imported culture wars; and immigration designed solely around New Zealand’s interests.
Above all, I want a government willing to say that economic growth is not the ultimate objective. The objective is a healthier, better educated, more secure, more cohesive and more prosperous population living in a country worth handing to the next generation.
I do not believe this is radical thinking, and I suspect it would appeal to many New Zealanders who currently feel politically homeless.
Would you vote for that? And if not, which part do you actually disagree with?