r/Hawaii 3d ago

Weather Watch Tropical Weather Watch: Lowell (12E)

83 Upvotes

Discussion


Last updated: Monday, August 31 — 6:00 PM

Satellite imagery analysis indicates that Lowell is becoming better organized as it continues westward across the central Pacific this afternoon. Deep convection continues to build and expand over the storm’s low-level circulation center as easterly vertical wind shear subsides. Intensity estimates derived from satellite imagery analysis indicate that Lowell continues to strengthen as maximum sustained winds have increased to 70 miles per hour. Lowell is close to hurricane strength.

Lowell continues to move westward along the southern periphery of a mid-level ridge positioned to the north of the islands. This ridge is expected to remain in place for the next few days, keeping Lowell moving in a generally westward direction. Models have come into closer agreement that Lowell will remain well to the south of the islands. By Friday, as Lowell passes to the south of Kauaʻi, it is expected to gradually slow down as an upper-level trough approaches the islands from the northwest.

The upper-level trough may begin to pull Lowell northwestward to north-northwestward after the storm passes well to the southwest of the islands on Sunday. Various models agree that this turn will happen, but there remains a high degree of uncertainty as to where, when, and how strongly this turn will occur. Traditional deterministic and ensemble models depict a shallower turn much farther west of the islands, while AI-powered models such as Google DeepMind depict a sharper turn closer to Kauaʻi.

Lowell is moving through an environment which appears to be primed to support rapid intensification. Weak vertical wind shear, very warm sea-surface temperatures, and abundant atmospheric moisture will allow Lowell to become a hurricane later tonight and strengthen into a Category 3 major hurricane by Wednesday afternoon, while the storm remains far to the south-southeast of the Big Island. Lowell is currently expected to remain a major hurricane the entire time it passes to the south of the islands.

Impacts


The risk of significant impacts from this storm continue to gradually decrease as it becomes increasingly likely that the storm will pass well to the south of the islands this week.

  • Wind: Lowell is expected to pass roughly as far south of the islands as Tropical Storm Moke. Although Lowell is expected to be much stronger than Moke, its wind field will still be well to the south of the islands, so direct wind impacts are not likely. That said, as with Moke’s passage, a tight pressure gradient is expected to set up over the islands from Thursday to Sunday with high pressure to the north of the islands and the storm to the south. This will likely result in stronger trade winds, with gusts of up to 50 miles per hour in some areas.

  • Rain: Vertical wind shear is expected to be far weaker to the south of the islands as Lowell passes by than it was for Hurricane Lala and Tropical Storm Moke. Therefore, the bulk of the heavy rain associated with Lowell will remain closer to its low-level center. Thus, significant rainfall impacts are not likely from the storm itself. Still, additional rain showers are likely over the weekend thanks to enhanced trade wind activity.

  • Surf: Large swells generated by Lowell may reach the Big Island as early as Wednesday and will spread westward to the rest of the islands over the next few days. These swells may create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents along east-facing and south-facing shores.

Latest observation


Last updated: Saturday, August 29 - 8:00 AM

Observed information

  • Current position: 13.0°N 147.4°W
  • Forward movement: W (280°) at 9 knots (10 mph) ▼
  • Maximum sustained winds: 60 knots (70 mph) ▲
  • Minimum central pressure: 993 millibars (29.33 inches) ▼
  • Intensity (Saffir-Simpson): Tropical Storm

Relative position

  • 685 miles east-southeast of Ka Lae (South Point)
  • 689 miles southeast of Hilo
  • 731 miles east-southeast of Kailua-Kona
  • 802 miles southeast of Kihei
  • 810 miles southeast of Kahului
  • 897 miles east-southeast of Honolulu
  • 1,017 miles east-southeast of Lihue

Quick forecast - Next 48 hours

  • 2AM Tue: 60 miles per hour - 603 miles east-southeast of Ka Lae
  • 2PM Tue: 70 miles per hour - 504 miles southeast of Ka Lae
  • 2AM Wed: 75 miles per hour - 417 miles southeast of Ka Lae
  • 2PM Wed: 85 miles per hour - 355 miles south-southeast of Ka Lae
  • 2AM Thu: 100 miles per hour - 329 miles south of Ka Lae

Closest approach

  • Big Island: 1:00 AM Thursday
  • Maui: 3:00 AM Thursday
  • Molokaʻi: 7:00 AM Thursday
  • Oʻahu: 3:00 PM Thursday
  • Kauaʻi: 10:00 AM Friday

Resources


Official information

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Forecast graphics

National Weather Service

Hawaii State Civil Defense

Unofficial information


r/Hawaii 6h ago

New "threading the needle" meme had dropped!

Post image
167 Upvotes

r/Hawaii 3h ago

30 Days, 30 Ali'i: King Kalakaua was the first Sovereign of any nation to circumnavigate the world. Achieved in 1881, He traveled through 13 countries and met with various other world leaders. His travels were well documented and his arrivals, much anticipated. This is the travels of Kalakaua

Thumbnail
gallery
30 Upvotes

r/Hawaii 27m ago

Hawaii Board Game Retreat Fall 2026 - Sept 25-27

Post image
Upvotes

Join us for the Fall 2026 retreat, Sept 25-27. We are a group of passionate volunteers who love seeing people connect and grow through play. We host the retreat at beautiful Camp Wai‘anae and include food and housing for the weekend--a housing upgrade is available for the first time. If you are new to the retreat, visit us with a day pass for Saturday or Sunday.

Mahalo for permission, Mods


r/Hawaii 1h ago

New HPD Chief: Any local takes on his first couple of months in?

Thumbnail
hawaiinewsnow.com
Upvotes

Favors creating a 9th police district specifically for West Oahu and Waianae Coast. Anyone have any opinions/ impressions from his first month and change in?

Appears more positive IMO than what was initially feared...


r/Hawaii 57m ago

I see that generators and microwaves...

Upvotes

I see that generators and microwaves are all sold out across the island of Oahu. Looks like power surges cooked the microwaves? Any random locations got any microwaves left?


r/Hawaii 5h ago

The feeling of a spiritual connection to home, anyone else feel this way?

8 Upvotes

I’m currently away from home the longest of my life (8 months) and the homesickness I thought I learned to manage after periods of being away for 4-5 months comes back a lot. I’ve been thinking about it and I feel like I have a deep rooted connection in my soul to home. Not Hawaiian, but born and raised, and the drive to HNL to leave and the view out the window landing back at HNL are so so emotional for me. I feel like Hawaii is part of me and I part of Hawaii.


r/Hawaii 22h ago

Too busy for malasadas...

Post image
191 Upvotes

So I moved back to Hawaii last year due to my dad getting cancer. Been years since I had a malasada, so I decided to visit Leonard's. This picture is what I saw when trying to park. Friend told me better to find one of their food trucks than to go to the original location.

It's like a tourbus just dropped off a full load and left. I've never had to plan my day around getting malasadas before.


r/Hawaii 5h ago

Building an ADU in Honolulu: Seeking real costs and insights about the process

7 Upvotes

Looking for real-world cost feedback on recent ADU builds in Honolulu/Oahu. Trying to set a realistic budget before diving into plans.

If you’ve built an ADU on Oahu recently:

  • How many square feet was it and layout?
  • What was your final total cost (all-in: permits, fees, materials, labor)?
  • Did you go basic builder-grade/low-tier, or upgrade to mid-tier finishes?
  • Has anyone built an ADU in a designated flood zone?
  • What was your biggest design or building challenges?

Appreciate any insight, cost breakdowns, or lessons learned! Mahalo.


r/Hawaii 15h ago

Stray cat problem advice?

23 Upvotes

I live in an apartment and I’m at wits end. My neighbor feeds stray cats and they pee and poop right in front of my door and in our shared hallway. I asked my neighbor if there’s anything she can do to try and keep them from relieving themselves in front of my door but her response was “they’re cats they don’t use the bathroom in front of your door on purpose”.

I texted the building manager 4 times and no response (building manager doesn’t live on property so I can’t see them in person) , as well as called the managing realtor and she said she’ll look into it and this was 2 months ago.

My patience is worn very thin and I’m thinking about calling the humane society but I’m not sure if they’ll do something let alone show up. Anyone have any advice?


r/Hawaii 19h ago

Mystery Bugs?

Post image
39 Upvotes

I live in a small studio in Mountain View and it isn’t sealed well so it flooded during Hurricane Lala and I’ve been cleaning it especially now that we have power up here but I finally got to the pet stuff and found these weirdos on my dog’s water bottle. Upon further inspection they were all over that table but aren’t on any of the others. Does anyone know what they might be?


r/Hawaii 7h ago

Competitive swimming private lessons recommendations?

2 Upvotes

Does anyone know of a good competitive swimming private lesson coach? Looking for my 11 year old daughter who just joined a swim team. Thanks!


r/Hawaii 14h ago

What is this bug and what kind of spider is this? I l stay on West Maui.

Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification

3 Upvotes

r/Hawaii 1d ago

Pandas at HNL ZOO?? Yes Please!

Thumbnail civilbeat.org
46 Upvotes

Panda Diplomacy: A Mayor’s Quest To Bring Pandas From China To Hawaiʻi

Mayor Rick Blangiardi’s efforts to court China included a gift of lei, a letter to President Xi Jinping and a trip to China with the CEO of Panda Express.

I'd go to the Zoo multiple times a year to see them!


r/Hawaii 21h ago

Asbestos Options

9 Upvotes

Hi all!

Just recently purchased a condo which has popcorn ceilings. The building is pretty old but I’m not sure when the last time the unit itself was renovated so planning on having the material tested to see if it has asbestos. I know there is a good chance it’s positive, but I want to be sure.

Assuming it is, I’m curious if anyone has experience dealing with asbestos removal or even encapsulation. I know removal is probably ideal, but it’s so expensive. I’ve called around and it doesn’t sound like many places are willing to encapsulate. We have some time to renovate before we move in so now feels like the time to take care of it. There is also some staining near the kitchen area which looks pretty unsightly but otherwise it does seem to be intact.

Any advice or recommendations for people who can help with this is much appreciated!


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Free Dental Cleaning, X-rays, & Exam at UH Manoa

118 Upvotes

Hi everyone! I’m a dental hygiene student & currently looking for reliable patients.

All services will be completely free, courtesy of me, as a thank-you for your time!

Services may include:
• Comprehensive dental exam
• Dental cleaning
• Deep cleaning/scaling, if needed
• Dental X-rays
• Fluoride treatment

Location: UH Mānoa Dental Hygiene Clinic

Availability: Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays — morning and afternoon appointments.

What you need to know about the duration of the appointment:

Because this is a teaching clinic, we take our time and every step of your care is carefully checked by our instructors. All appointments are provided under supervision of licensed dentists and dental hygienists.

Appointments are typically 3-4 hours, and depending on your individual dental needs, you may need 2–3 visits to complete your care.

If it’s been a while since your last dental cleaning, you don’t have dental insurance, or you’d simply like to save on dental care while helping a student gain valuable clinical experience, I'd love to have you as my patient! :)


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Shipping to Honolulu from the East Coast: Are UPS or FedEx significantly more reliable than USPS?

9 Upvotes

We occasionally send 9" × 12" mailers from the East Coast to Honolulu, and USPS has been extremely unreliable. A few examples:

One package was returned after more than a month as “undeliverable.” It was addressed to the Australian Consulate in Honolulu, and I triple-checked the address to be 100% correct.

Another sent via Ground Advantage took 2 months to arrive.

We switched to Priority Mail, but packages are still taking 3+ weeks.

Before we switch to UPS or FedEx, which are considerably more expensive, I’d like to hear from anyone who regularly ships from the Mainland to Honolulu.

Are UPS or FedEx actually more reliable and timely for shipments to Honolulu, or is the problem simply the location and transportation to Honolulu, meaning we might experience similar delays with any carrier?


r/Hawaii 1d ago

CPO car issue

Thumbnail
gallery
6 Upvotes

I wanted to share my experience with a Certified Pre-Owned vehicle I purchased from a local dealership and see if anyone in Hawaii has dealt with something similar.

  • I purchased the vehicle in August 2025. I was not informed of prior accident history or prior rental use. At delivery, I received one key fob with no mechanical keys. I also did not receive the completed CPO inspection checklist, and I don't recall receiving the actual CARFAX report at purchase.
  • From early on, I noticed smaller issues, including a child-safety lock/latch issue, intermittent problems with the driver's window control panel, and paint bubbling near the parking-light housing.
  • In April 2026, I took the vehicle to an independent body shop regarding a different paint issue. During its inspection, the shop pointed out welding/previous repair work and active water intrusion/pooling. This raised questions for me about the vehicle's condition before it was certified and sold.
  • I then left the vehicle with the selling dealership. I gave verbal and written instructions that I did not want the vehicle moved or worked on without my authorization. During subsequent discussions, the dealership acknowledged that the vehicle had prior accident history. I was told that the prior accident had fallen through the "cracks." I was also told Hawaii law did not require disclosure of the vehicle's prior rental use.
  • I started reviewing the purchase and CPO documentation more closely. The customer packet I received did not contain the completed CPO inspection checklist or an actual CARFAX report. A CARFAX later provided by the dealership was printed in April 2026, months after my purchase. I then independently purchased an AutoCheck report, which contained a pre-sale auction announcement referencing severe structural/frame damage.
  • I repeatedly requested the completed CPO inspection report. During this process, the GM initially identified a vehicle-delivery checklist as the CPO inspection checklist. After I pointed out that they were different documents, I was told that the CPO inspection was completed through an iPad-based system and that the dealership did not directly retain the inspection document. I eventually received the completed CPO report after repeated requests.
  • When I finally received the CPO inspection report, it raised additional questions. The inspection indicated that the vehicle satisfied items concerning the frame, absence of water damage, and required keys/remotes. However, I had received only one key fob with no mechanical keys, and by that point the independent body shop had identified water intrusion/pooling and welding/previous repair work. This made me question what was actually inspected when the vehicle was certified.
  • While settlement discussions were ongoing and the vehicle remained at the dealership, I unexpectedly received a connected-car notification that a door had been unlocked. I checked the vehicle's location and discovered that it had been moved roughly 20 miles away to a body shop that the dealership's GM later stated was owned by the same auto group. He explained that he took the vehicle there so their collision specialists could evaluate it. Management later told me the vehicle was returned without work being performed because of my previous instructions. I have GPS/app timing information that does not appear to completely line up with the timeline I was given, so I still have unanswered questions about the movement and how long the vehicle was actually there.
  • I also had the current registration certificate and registration sticker in my possession while the vehicle was at the dealership, which left me with additional questions about how the vehicle was driven on public roads. I have asked for additional documentation and clarification regarding the movement but have not received enough information to resolve those questions.

At this point, I have tried the consumer/regulatory complaint process and am looking into private counsel. Because this is a used CPO vehicle, the usual new-car lemon-law route does not appear to be the straightforward solution.

Has anyone in Hawaii dealt with a similar CPO/used-car dispute? Did you resolve it directly with the dealer, through mediation, or through a consumer attorney? If you used an attorney for a Hawaii consumer/UDAP or auto-dealer case, I'd especially appreciate recommendations.


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Nano Blading?

0 Upvotes

Has anyone gotten their eye brows nano bladed on the island and can provide any feedback and/or recommendations? Thanks in advance!


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Kapiolani Community college math 100

10 Upvotes

Has anyone taken Math 100 at Kapiʻolani Community College (KCC)? How difficult was it, especially if you’re not good at math? What topics should I study before taking it, and is there anything you wish you knew beforehand?


r/Hawaii 2d ago

Satire Light Afternoon Shower

Post image
97 Upvotes

Hilo...Wait 10min and It's Over


r/Hawaii 2d ago

Any recs for O’ahu hair stylist specializing in very fine hair?

20 Upvotes

Hi all, I’m on the hunt for a new hair stylist on O’ahu, specifically someone who is comfortable working with extremely fine, easily damaged hair. Willing to drive pretty much anywhere on island if needed. Anyone have any good personal experiences to recommend? Thanks!


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Looking for advice on getting my Hawaii real estate license while working full-time!

0 Upvotes

Hi everyone! I’m on Oʻahu and looking into getting my Hawaii real estate salesperson license. I currently work full-time, so I’m specifically looking for recommendations for online/ self-paced 60-hour pre-licensing courses that are actually good and prepare you well for the exam.

For anyone who has taken an online course:

Which school did you use?
Would you recommend it?
Was it truly flexible enough to do around a full-time job?
How long did it take you to finish?
Did you feel prepared for the state exam?

Also, for those who are currently real estate agents in Hawaii is it realistically feasible to work a full-time job and be a real estate agent on the side? I’m curious how people manage showings, clients, open houses, etc. while working a regular 9–5.

I’d really appreciate any recommendations or experiences, especially from people who are doing this part-time! 😊


r/Hawaii 3d ago

Hospice care on Oahu

17 Upvotes

Can anyone share any good experiences with hospice care places in Oahu? Happy to hear any recs or places not to go - mahalo!


r/Hawaii 1d ago

Is Ed Case Hawaiʻi’s Most Popular Politician? Voters Say Yes

Thumbnail
civilbeat.org
0 Upvotes