They are currently 6 games back now.
Remaining SOS schedule for the west...
Seattle .420 (BOS, ATH, TEX, ATH, LAA, COL, HOU, LAA)
Houston .510 (CHW, AZ, PHI, TB, KC, ATL, SEA, ATH)
Texas .501 (ATH, TB, SEA, AZ, BOS, TOR, NYM, MIN)
Sure the odds are a measly 12.1% but I would argue it realistically 96.2% considering what the remaining teams look like now.
Last 30 days wRC+Mariners are at 93 despite the brutal schedule, meanwhile our remaining opponents....ATH 87 (7 games), Texas 94 (3 games), LAA 76 (7 games), COL 86 (3 games) and HOU 91 (2 games).
ATH is decimated, no Kurtz, no Bangeliers, no Soderstrom, no Wilson, no Grauer.
LAA lost Adell and Schanuel is banged up and they just lost Klassen and called up Mitch Farris
TEX is without Eovaldi and Jung...their big sept callup? Cameron Cauley
COL is Colorado