DJ Moore is being ranked as the WR24 on Yahoo and ESPN, WR28 on Underdog. He is going behind players like Luther Burden, Rome Odunze, and Parker Washington to name a few.
Let’s dive into some of these guys. Burden is an advanced metrics darling with tons of talent and draft capital tied to his name (39th pick), he also quite easily passes the eye test.
2.8 YPRR (4th in NFL)
26% TPRR (11th in NFL)
11.7% 1st downs per route run (12th in NFL)
0.56 FPPR (8th in NFL)
Burden is tied to one of the best offenses in the NFL, with an ascending QB in Caleb Williams. He does have good weapons around him with Odunze and Loveland. We haven’t SEEN the top end production with him, so drafting him at his price tag is assuming he’s capable of doing being a top 24 WR, which he is.
Odunze has capital tied to his game but was considerably worse than Burden in advanced metrics. No one truly knows who will be the #1 target earner between these two guys and Loveland. People are just trying to hit a home run and get Caleb’s #1 option in the mid rounds, which is a great bet to take.
Parker Washington was a heavy target earner late last season and is a security blanket for Trevor Lawerence. Coen has been talking about him in high regards all summer and people see him as an asset due for a big season… but he has considerable competition. Meyers just got paid 60m on 20m annual average. Brian Thomas is a former 1300 yard receiver with the heaviest draft capital of the group. No one really knows who the #1 will be. Everyone has their own pick.
Now, DJ Moore. The oldest WR of the group, who also had average at best metrics last season. Are DJ Moore’s best days behind him at 29 years old? It’s possible. Though, if you watch his tape, he wasn’t slow, he wasn’t struggling to make big catches in big moments, he wasn’t slow out of cuts. He was just completely checked out in an offense that wasn’t making him a priority. DJ Moore just a few years ago was not just a WR1, but a top 6 WR in half ppr with Justin Fields throwing him the ball. He also had 3 straight 1150+ yard seasons on the Panthers with the likes of PJ Walker, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield (the bad versions of them lol). Another positive for him is that the Bills gave up a 2nd round pick for Moore while also extending him on a restructured contract.
So DJ Moore is a proven asset across multiple seasons on bad offenses. The Bills have clearly shown throughout the process of acquiring him that they don’t think he’s washed but rather that he will be a huge part of not only this upcoming season but also the new couple of seasons on one of the most explosive offenses we can get our hands on in fantasy football.
We are drafting Josh Allen’s surefire WR1 next to names that either not proven commodities, have significant target competition.. oh and also don’t have Josh Allen.
Everyone is trying to find the next JSN in the mid rounds. Waddle, McConkey, Flowers, Egbuka, DeVonta… but what if we’re overthinking it and it’s DJ Moore