r/NFLNoobs • u/ckendry • 6h ago
Roster cuts and draft status
Why does draft status carry so much weight in roster cuts?
Let's say there are two players vying for the 6th wide receiver spot. One is a UDFA from this year (Jerry Potatoes) and one is a 3rd round pick from last year (Randy Lichen).
The UDFA, Jerry, has been impressive in camp and in all preseason games, including work with the first team offense. The 3rd rounder, Randy, had 3 targets in total last year, with no receptions, and has been less impressive and generally had a quiet camp. It's not the difference between a clear 1st-ballot hall of famer and perennial practice squad, but Jerry still seems to have performed better.
I keep hearing analysts saying Randy will make the team because he's a 3rd-round draft pick, as if that speaks for itself.
Assuming that there are no other factors (no behind the scenes stuff the public doesn't see, no big future financial obligations), why would Randy having been a draft pick make him more likely to make the team than Jerry? Don't teams want the best players on the field, above all else?
Is it mainly because the team doesn't want to appear to have been wrong about the draft pick? Or is there indeed some major financial obligation that would make it be prohibitively consequential to waive Randy rather than UDFA Jerry? Or are all the analysts just telling a story that isn't true?
I have seen draft picks waived (e.g. Justin Joly this year), but I keep hearing the "they kept him likely due to draft status" story out there in one form or another.
TIA